If change is necessary, let AD make it
For more on UI women's basketball, click here to read Tony Bleill's blog.
CHAMPAIGN – Ron Zook and the Illini make the short trip to Purdue this weekend aboard a runaway train that is seemingly hurtling downhill toward a crash-and-burn ending.
Somebody please hit the brakes. Quick! The Big Ten losing streak reached six with a 27-14 loss to Indiana, a team that was a 55-13 victim a year ago. And if the Illini are frustrated and downcast, Purdue is uplifted overnight by a 26-18 upset of Ohio State. The UI's pass defense, last in the Big Ten, now faces a fifth-year senior, Joey Elliott, who completed 31 passes against the Buckeyes.
It is not a pretty picture, and if this trend continues, a campus administration already in turmoil – Stanley Ikenberry is serving as president and chancellor on an interim basis – soon will face a challenging decision. The Big Ten season ends in little more than a month, and the wheels could start churning ahead of those inappropriately scheduled games against sixth-ranked Cincinnati and Fresno State.
What to do? What is the process for re-evaluation and a possible makeover?
It begins with Ron Guenther. The athletic director has been secretive about his future and, if a coaching change is called for, must be willing to sign on for two more years through December 2012. And if Ikenberry approves that idea, it will be up to a spanking-new Board of Trustees to approve the extension.
A person close to the situation, who did not want to be identified, discusses the process:
"Guenther can no longer be coy or deferential about his future. It wouldn't make sense for the athletic director to hire a new football coach if he intends to retire next year.
"If Guenther concludes that a change is necessary, he'll need to make a comprehensive analysis of the reasons, demonstrating the implications of the win-loss record, the future of the team, projected sales of tickets, boxes and suites, the status of recruiting, everything. Furthermore, he'll have to show that he has private funding for the buyout, not only for the head coach ($1.3 million per year for four years, not counting assistants with multiyear contracts) but for the staff changeover. He'd have to explain what 'starting over' means.
"Guenther's position is awkward under the circumstances, and it might be appropriate for him to ask whether his recommendation would be accepted or he should step aside. If he has Ikenberry's support, it isn't likely that the new board will be intrusive. If Ikenberry and Guenther are in agreement, the trustees will probably go along."
Blame game
If the Zook tailspin continues – he still has half a season to reverse it – there'll be a furor whether Guenther is the right person to name a new coach after the failures of Ron Turner and Zook. That fuss is already under way.
The opinion here is that (1) the committee approach is weak because quality coaches insist on secrecy in such dealings and (2) Guenther has the knowledge, contacts and fervor for the job.
The idea that athletic directors should be graded on the records of their football coaches lacks merit. The AD's job, as it pertains to football, is to clear a path with facilities and support. That has been done. When Turner went 25-19 between 1999 and 2002, with an undisputed Big Ten title along the way, he seemed to have things in reasonable order. Then, six years after he was hired, it collapsed. Critics will say Guenther gambled by taking an NFL offensive coordinator with only one year of college head coaching experience. It worked for a while, and then it didn't. How much of this was Turner's fault and how much of it is the institutional nature of football at Illinois?
The Zook case is similar. With his background in Florida and Ohio, he seemed to have the right contacts to attract talent. It worked for a while, and then the roof caved in. Maybe this year's defensive weaknesses could have been foreseen, but who could have predicted the stunning offensive falloff by a team that produced a school-record 5,525 yards in 2007 and 5,266 last year. Is the falloff Guenther's fault?
Of course, there'll be a call for a new perspective. But those who point out that an outsider, Neale Stoner, tapped the NFL for Mike White and John Mackovic are reminded that his predecessor, Cecil Coleman, was part of the committee that chose Gary Moeller over Don James. There is no perfect approach. Guenther remains the best option.
Everyone has warts
You see, what Illinois needs for football is Superman. Nothing less. Illinois needs someone who is faster than a speeding bullet and can leap over tall buildings with a single bound.
You might find him wearing a Hawkeye jersey these days but, remember, there were outcries in Iowa two years ago when Kirk Ferentz was winding down a three-year 19-18 record. The Wolverines thought they stole Superman from West Virginia, but the jury still is out after Rich Rodriguez's 8-11 start at Michigan. And Jim Tressel is a worthy steward of the Buckeye ship, but he suddenly finds himself in a whirlwind of criticism.
The prospective pool for Illinois, which is being viewed nationally as a coaching graveyard, is not overflowing. Cincinnati's Brian Kelly, who will host the Illini on Nov. 27, is 27-6 over two-plus seasons, but already matches Zook's salary ($1.475 million, plus incentives) and will be the hottest guy in the market this year. Michigan State took Kelly's predecessor, Mark Dantonio, but he lost his cape with three straight setbacks that began with a 29-27 loss to Central Michigan (how about Central's offensive ace Butch Jones? He's won 13 of 16 MAC games).
The Illini could look many directions. They could check the interest of NFLers like Jon Gruden or Jim Zorn. They could go to the archives for fired veterans Phil Fulmer (he was 152-52 at Tennessee) or Tommy Tuberville. Gary Barnett is in the market again. Or they could test the interest of crack assistants like Gus Malzahn of Auburn and Charlie Strong of Florida.
Texas Tech's Mike Leach is an offensive guru but also a quirky loose cannon (he'd be good even if he wore his cape backward). UConn's Randy Edsall is highly respected, but his record there is 62-62. Surely you like Californian Chris Petersen, who is 41-4 at Boise State, but take note that the previous Boise coach, Dan Hawkins, left after great success and is 15-28 at Colorado.
Where is perfection? Does it lie with Purdue grad Kevin Sumlin, whose high-scoring 5-1 Houston team bumped Oklahoma State and Texas Tech? Is he attainable?
Folks at SIU and NIU speak favorably of Jerry Kill – his Huskies beat Purdue last month – but Kill was diagnosed with kidney cancer in 2005 and has had two major seizures including his collapse during a Salukis game against Illinois State.
Somewhere in this great pack of prospects – throw in Tim Brewster, Greg Schiano, Jim Leavitt, Kyle Whittingham, Mark Farley – resides the UI's Superman. Or maybe Tony Dungy can be enticed out of retirement. Yeah, and maybe Superman can really fly.
Loren Tate writes for The News-Gazette. He can be reached at ltate@news-gazette.com.
It is interesting to compare Turner & Zook. After
exactly 4 1/2 YRS or 52 games here are the results: Turner..OA 22-30 BT 11-25 Zook..OA 18-34
BT 10-26. I would consider a 5 yr time frame to be a fair indicator of a coaching staff's "body of work" and picture of overall direction of the program.
Absurd. Putting aside the silly notion that the AD isn't somehow responsible for wins and losses over the course of his tenure, just look at facilities and support: Facilities have been upgraded, but other than the Ubben complex, we were the last Big Ten team to upgrade the stadium, and the only to do so while simultaneously losing capacity.
And in terms of support, what kind of support do you call the schedules our coaches have been saddled with?
"The idea that athletic directors should be graded on the records of their football coaches lacks merit." So he gets a free pass for poor performance? Nice try to cover for your buddy, Loren, but I couldn't disagree more. Not saying that it is the only grade, but it is the one of the most important grades. A committe doesn't mean that it's a free for all, it just means that the AD needs oversight. Point out that fans are hard to please everywhere isn't that relevenant. What we are facing is a continuing pattern of very poor performance. Talking down Illini prospect by saying that we can never be great is a mis-guided smokescreen. I don't think most fans are demanding that we become OSU, Michigan or Penn State, but they for sure don't understand why we can't be close to Wisconsin, Iowa, Michigan State, Minnesota, or Northwestern - teams that compete and look competent week in and week out and frequently get to bowls.
The AD is basically the equivalent of a general manager. GM's usually get up to 2 head coach hires before their time is up. Guenther is well into his 3rd.
The is absolutely no doubt that the FB program of any top 50 BCS schools is the lifeblood of the sports programs.
Guenther has had is opportunity to establish a successful FB program, time to retire. Do NOT hire from within, and do NOT let Guenther provide any input unless it's just to amuse him.
The biggest obstacle standing between the Illini and long-term success is a long list of UofI administrations (including an almost endless list of Trustees) who choose not to support Illini programs, athletes and coaches.
The second biggest obstacle is people who call themselves fans while spewing negativity, accusations, hatred, and fantasy-based expectations.
--Orlando Illini
Loren: Are you paid by the AD to write your columns or do you just feel beholden to him? No major FB program in the country would tolerate this many years of losing FB under a string of different coaches. Oh wait, I forgot, we are not a major FB program. OK, forget that point. Concerning facilities, we are almost the last in the B10 to catch up with our peers in terms of renovations. So much for vision and staying ahead of the pack.
I think Guenther should be gone regardless if zook gets this team going this year. I like zook, but the record stinks! The coaching and play calling stinks! Having said that, I do believe puttin a tough schedule together as they always do, really hurts! Look at penn st, they dont play those tough teams for their non conference and they sure as hell don't play them on the road! I think zook has been dealt a bad hand to begin with in that respect, but at the end of the day, we still need wins, which is his job. I don't want to try an nfl coach! If we get a new coach, he needs to be able to recruit too or hire people that can, maybe keep zook for that reason!
I think Loren is correct that we are in a bad position. I am not in favor of Guenther hiring the next football coach but I can hardly see us going another year with Zook as I expect we are likely to go 1-11 this year.
Loren is correct I suspect that having a hiring committee is a bad idea for major head coaching jobs.
I disagree with Loren that UI can't be successful in football as it is obvious we have had few good coaches. I do believe its isolated location makes it harder but White showed success is possible.
I also think the days of Michigan, Ohio State, and Notre Dame being the dominant teams in the Big Ten area are waning.
I also think after this basketball season there may be more questions on Weber so that may add to the questions on Guenther.
Gunther should take some responsibility for the football teams dismal failure. He has practically guarenteed a losing record every year by scheduling top 25 teams for us to play.
Seems like a coach never lasts more than 5 years here. The first year the team improves. The second year the record is a little better but still mediocre. The third year we win a big 10 title the fourth year we unexpectedly get worse. the fifth year we are in the toilet and we fire the coach. 5years from now we will be talking about firing the coach that replaces Zook.
Illini will never be a consistent winner.
Time for changes. If the money is not available to buy out Coach Zook's contract then most of the assistant coaches need to be let go. Find young, eager guys wanting to climb the coaching ladder who will use the success of future Illini football teams to help them become high profile assistant coaches. If they turn out to be someone special, pay them well and keep them, if not, go on to the next guy.
Changing assistants won't do much unless the AD imposes mandates on Zook as in let the coordinators control essentially all aspects of their side of the ball. Bob A says that zook dictates the bend don't break defense, and is heavily involved with the special teams. A hands off the detail approach might be the solution if the zooker buys off on it. He's seems to be a good guy, represents the U well in public etc, he just doesn't seem to get the max out of his talent. Let him recruit, call the coin flip, and recruit and go to alumin functions, and hug the guys on senior day, but stay out of the x's and o's. This would solve the $$ problem and the AD problem as we could patch this though until we get a new AD.







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