Simulation #4 on NCAA Football 2011

I just competed my fouth simulation with NCAA Football 2011 on the Xbox 360, this weekend, and it wasn't too terrible.  Did Illinois make a bowl game?  No, but they were much more competitive, especially on offense.  I made a couple of changes to the Illini before this sim.  First, I swtched the playbook to 'Arkansas', since that is where Paul Petrino came from.  Arkansas was running more of a pro style offense, which is closet to what we should see out of Petrino.  Since he was Arkansas' OC last year, I decided to take their book.  Also, Illinois' default offense was set up as 45% run and 55% pass.  If Illinois does this for the upcoming season, I wouldn't be shocked if the stats we saw in my third simulation were to make an appearance.  I switched it to 60% run and 40% pass.  I'm thinking with a freshman QB, the Illini might try to let the running game take over a bit and not put too much pressure on Sheelhaase while he learns the ropes.

With these changes, the Illini went 5-7 for the second time in four sims. The Illini scored 260 points (21.7ppg), but the defense still had issues, allowing a whopping 328 points (27.3). They also went 3-5 in the conference, which is their best conference showing so far in the four simulations. However, like the other sims, The Illini lost some games that just killed their chances of making a bowl. They lost to Minnesota at home, and Fresno State to end the season. Like I said before, if the Illini go 5-7, I wouldn't be too disappointed.

Remember how pathetic Sheelhaase's stats were last time? This time around, they are considerably better. They aren't great by any means, but there stats were good enough to earn him Freshman All-American honors! How cool would it be if that happened in real life?!?! Let's take a look at some stats.

 

BIG TEN STANDINGS

Conference Overall
NAME WIN LOSS WIN LOSS
#3 Wisconsin 7 1 11 1
#12 Penn State 7 1 10 3
#7 Ohio State 6 2 11 2
#13 Iowa 5 3 10 3
Michigan State 5 3 8 5
Minnesota 5 3 6 7
Illinois 3 5 5 7
Northwestern 2 6 5 7
Indiana 2 6 6 7
Michigan 2 6 4 8
Purdue 0 8 3 9

 

NOTABLE ILLINI STATISTICS

QB Nathan Sheelhaase (Fr.) - 201/438 passing, 2197 yards, 11 TD, 15 INT

                                                351 yards rushing, 4 TD, Freshman All-American!!!

RB Mikel Leshoure (Jr.) - 210 carries, 698 yards, 3.3 ypc, 7 TD, long 66.

TE London Davis (So.) - 71 rec, 748 yards, 4 TD, long 46

Evan Frierson (So.) - 82 tackles, 17 FL, 3.5 sacks, 1 INT, 8 PD, 2 FF

K Derek Dimke (Jr.) - 21/29 FG, 2 FG made over 50 yards, 27/27 PAT

 

BIG TEN STATISTICS

TOP 5 QUARTERBACKS
NAME YR COM ATT YRD TD INT
Terrelle Pryor OSU JR 164 237 2218 17 2 Injured mid-season
Scott Tolzien WIS SR 261 400 3088 30 8
Kirk Cousins MSU JR 192 358 2360 21 8
Adam Weber MIN SR 150 314 2082 18 10
Kevin Newsome PSU SO 192 386 2349 21 9
TOP 5 RUNNINGBACKS
NAME YR ATT YRD AVG TD LONG
John Clay WIS JR 345 1408 4 11 23
Evan Royster PSU SR 296 1149 3.8 4 16
Adam Robinson IOW SO 294 1032 3.5 10 16
Larry Caper MSU SO 303 1028 3.3 7 26
Michael Shaw MICH JR 271 993 3.6 8 75
TOP 5 RECEIVERS
NAME YR REC YRD AVG TD LONG
Nick Toon WIS JR 80 1129 14.1 13 57
Allen Reisner IOW SR 75 905 12 7 81
Damario Belcher IND JR 74 868 11.7 5 58
London Davis ILL SO 71 748 10.5 4 46
Derrell Koulianos IOW SR 70 1015 14.5 5 64
TOP 5 DEFENDERS
NAME YR TACK FL SACK INT PD OTHER
OLB Keanon Cooper MIN SO 108 23 6.5 0 12 2 FF, 2 FR
OLB Jason Werner PUR SR 94 8 2.5 1 9 3 FF, 1 FR
MLB Spencer Reeves MIN SO 82 16 3.5 2 7 1 FF
OLB Chad Sherer IND SO 93 11 3.5 1 9 2 FF, 1 FR
MLB Greg Jones MSU SR 98 20 5.5 2 7 3 FF, 2 FR

 

ILLINOIS' BIG WINS

vs. Northern Illinois 27-21

@ Northwestern 24-17


ILLINOIS' BIG LOSSES

vs. Minnesota 31-16

@ Fresno State 27-21

 

 

BIG TEN IN BOWL GAMES

Big Ten goes 3-4 in Bowl Games

Texas Bowl – Oklahoma 45    Indiana 0 (Oklahoma went 9-4 on the year)

Insight Bowl - #18 Texas A&M 41     Minnesota 17

Outback Bowl - #13 Iowa 45     Mississippi State 13

Gator Bowl – Arkansas 29    Michigan State 20

Capital One Bowl - #7 Ohio State 44    #24 Tennessee 10

Rose Bowl - #3 Wisconsin 28    #8 Stanford 14

Sugar Bowl - #2 Alabama 38    #12 Penn State 3

 

And how about this for a National Championship Game - #1 Utah 48    #4 Boise State 24

The Utes in their final season of Mountain West Football win the national title!!

 

Utah is the only team in the nation to go undefeated (13-0). Looking at the rest of the top 25, one other teams stuck out at me. Boston College finished at 15th with a 11-2 record. It's the first time I've seen them in there at the end of the simulation.

Hope you enjoyed another round of the simulation. I plan on doing one more. Also, get your predictions ready! Like last year, I am doing the prediction standings where all of you will compete against me in picking the winners of each Illinois football game. Who, if anybody, will dethrone me this year?? Keep up with my blog for more details on that. Talk to you guys next week.

 

I-L-L...

 

 

Comments

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Reillini wrote on August 21, 2010 at 2:08 pm

Tom, I'm looking forward to the season and another prediction challenge. Go Illini

JimOATSfan wrote on August 23, 2010 at 3:08 am

Hey Tom:

Do you have the time to work with Bob Asmussen to take last years 2009 | 2010 season FB Bowl teams and do playoff simulations?

Why not set up a CU based national FB playoff, just like the BB version, until you announce a championship game and winner?

Cheers!

try122583 wrote on August 23, 2010 at 11:08 am

Hye Jim,

I came across a website a couple of days ago that I think you'd love.

http://www.whatifsports.com/ncaafb/default.asp

You can do game simulations on here will all of the FBS football teams. You can even take historical teams all the way back to 1996. You match up the teams, pick what offense you want them to run, set up the depth chart, pick who's home or away, or even play it on a neutral field. You can even pick the what you want the weather to be.

After you complete a simulation, it will pop up a complete box score of the game. It's crazy how much into detail this goes. You can also do this for other sports too. Pretty cool. I was just playing around with it the other day and enjoyed it. I might put last year's top 8 into it and sim it out and see what happens. Let me know what you think about this website.

Also, feel free to join us for this year's prediction game. Reillini, looking forward to having you back.

Tom Young

Jshaw wrote on August 24, 2010 at 3:08 pm

Id be happy with 5-7, although it would be mean watching and yelling at the TV than last year

Also, Utah Vs BSU would never happen. Im still waiting for the all over hyped Sec Vs Sec championship game. It will happen one year.